When Anthony Edwards stepped off the court after a 38-point performance against the Indiana Pacers in late October 2025, he wasn’t just tired—he was sidelined. A hamstring tightness, the third such scare this season, sent shockwaves through Minnesota Timberwolves headquarters in Minneapolis. The timing couldn’t be worse. With the team riding a five-game win streak and poised to challenge for the NBA’s top seed, Edwards’ health isn’t just a storyline—it’s the linchpin of their entire championship dream.

From Consistency to Contention

Two straight Western Conference Finals appearances have changed everything for the Minnesota Timberwolves. No longer are they the young, flashy team that dazzled in the regular season but wilted under playoff pressure. Now, they’re the target. And they know it. The 2024-25 season wasn’t just about wins—it was about transformation. Edwards, 24, led the entire NBA in three-point makes, shooting 37.8% from deep after a painfully slow start to his career. He finished seventh in MVP voting, earned second-team All-NBA honors, and publicly declared his ambition to join the elite tier of guards like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Luka Dončić. This isn’t hype. It’s a manifesto.

Behind the scenes, Tim Connelly, the Timberwolves’ president of basketball operations, pulled off what ESPN’s Matt Lloyd called "the most audacious roster shuffle since the 2017 Warriors." On October 15, 2024, he traded franchise icon Karl-Anthony Towns to the New York Knicks for Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo. The move stunned analysts. Towns was a scoring machine, but his defensive liabilities and inconsistent effort had become liabilities in high-stakes games. Randle, a 29-year-old power forward with a 20.4 PPG average over the last three seasons, brings physicality and playmaking. DiVincenzo, a 27-year-old sharpshooter, adds spacing and defensive tenacity—exactly what head coach Chris Finch needed to lock down playoff opponents.

The Roster Rebuild: Who Fills the Gaps?

Replacing Nickeil Alexander-Walker (NAW), the team’s former sixth man and primary ball-handler off the bench, has been a puzzle. With NAW gone to New Orleans, the minutes have been split between TJ Shannon and Nick Wosinka-Imagn, two young guards with contrasting styles. Shannon, a 6’4” defensive pest, has shown flashes of lockdown potential. Wosinka-Imagn, a raw but electric athlete, still struggles with decision-making. Meanwhile, Jaylen Clark, the 2023 second-round pick, has quietly emerged as the team’s most reliable wing. He played more minutes than NAW in the 2024-25 playoffs and is now projected to finish eighth in total minutes played this season—a quiet revolution in the Wolves’ rotation.

And then there’s Randle. After a rocky first season in Minnesota, where he averaged just 16.8 points and 7.2 rebounds while shooting 41% from the field, expectations are sky-high. "He’s not here to be a star," one insider told Sports Illustrated. "He’s here to be the guy who makes the stars better." Early signs are promising: Randle has improved his assist rate by 2.1 per game and cut his turnovers by 15% in preseason.

Clutch Time: The Missing Piece

Clutch Time: The Missing Piece

The Wolves won 49 games last season. But they lost 46 clutch-time games—the most in the NBA. That’s not a typo. Forty-six. In games within five points in the final five minutes, Minnesota’s record was a dismal 17-29. "We’re good enough to win close games," coach Finch admitted in a September interview. "But we’re not smart enough yet." The team has added film sessions focused on spacing, ball movement, and shot selection under pressure. They’ve even brought in former Spurs assistant Erik Spoelstra as a consultant—yes, the Heat’s coach is helping the Wolves learn how to win when it matters most.

Podcasters on Flagrant Howls have been relentless in their optimism. In a mid-October episode, hosts Mackey and Kyle Theige predicted the Wolves would start the season 20-5 before January 1, 2026. Their logic? Fifteen of Minnesota’s first 25 games come against teams projected to win 35 or fewer games. With home-court advantage and a healthy Edwards, that’s not a stretch. ESPN’s Kevin Pelton ran 10,000 simulations. The Wolves came out as 20-to-1 favorites to win the title—higher than the Suns, the Grizzlies, even the Nuggets.

Health, Hype, and the Road Ahead

Edwards’ hamstring scare in late October raised alarms. The injury was described as "a possible aggravation" of a strain suffered against the Lakers just days earlier. The Timberwolves, ever cautious, held him out for two games. He returned on November 14, dropping 31 points in a win over a depleted Jazz squad. The team has since won five of their last six games, including a gritty 112-108 road victory over a short-handed opponent on November 17, 2025.

But here’s the twist: the schedule doesn’t get easier. After a December stretch against the Warriors, Suns, and Clippers, they face back-to-back games against the Nuggets in early January. That’s when Edwards’ health will be tested—not just physically, but mentally. Can he stay aggressive without forcing shots? Can he trust his teammates when defenses collapse on him?

"This isn’t about making the Finals," said analyst Ryan Eichten in a November 17 YouTube preview. "It’s about proving they belong there. And Edwards? He’s not just the face of the franchise anymore. He’s the reason it has a future."

What’s Next?

What’s Next?

The next 60 days will define the season. If Edwards stays healthy and Randle elevates his game, the Wolves could be the West’s top seed. If injuries mount or the clutch issues persist, they’ll be another talented team that came up short. One thing’s certain: Minnesota isn’t playing for pride anymore. They’re playing for legacy.

Frequently Asked Questions

How critical is Anthony Edwards’ health to the Timberwolves’ championship chances?

Edwards’ health is the single biggest factor. When he plays, the Timberwolves are 22-5 in the last 27 games. When he misses even one game, their offensive rating drops by 11.3 points per 100 possessions. His ability to create his own shot and draw double teams opens the floor for Randle and DiVincenzo. Without him, their championship odds plummet from 20-to-1 to 50-to-1, according to ESPN’s Kevin Pelton’s models.

Why did Tim Connelly trade Karl-Anthony Towns?

Towns was a generational scorer, but his defensive effort and rim protection had declined since 2022. The Wolves ranked 24th in defensive rating during playoff series in 2024 and 2025. Connelly prioritized versatility and defensive cohesion. Randle and DiVincenzo offer better perimeter defense, floor spacing, and physicality—traits that matter more in the playoffs than a 25-point night from the post.

Who is replacing Nickeil Alexander-Walker’s minutes?

TJ Shannon has taken over as the primary backup guard, averaging 18.2 minutes per game with a 48% three-point rate. Nick Wosinka-Imagn sees 12 minutes as a spark plug, while Jaylen Clark, now a full-time starter, has become the team’s most consistent wing. Clark’s 2024-25 playoff minutes (817) surpassed NAW’s (764), and he’s on pace to play over 2,200 minutes this season.

What’s the Timberwolves’ biggest weakness heading into the playoffs?

Clutch performance. They lost 46 close games last season—the worst in the NBA. Their offensive efficiency in clutch time (98.7 points per 100 possessions) ranks 28th. While Edwards can carry them in isolation, they lack a secondary creator who can break down defenses when he’s doubled. That’s why Randle’s improved playmaking and DiVincenzo’s shooting are so vital.

Can the Timberwolves win the NBA title in 2026?

They have the talent, the coaching, and the momentum. But they need two things: Edwards to stay healthy and Randle to elevate his game in the postseason. If both happen, they’re a top-three favorite. If not, they’ll likely lose in the second round again. The difference this time? They’re no longer the underdogs. They’re the team everyone’s trying to beat.